A couple of days ago news was made that a Google self-driving car got into an accident with a bus…and the Google car was at fault (you can read an article concerning this crash here).
Rather than note how incredible it is that Google self-driving cars have been in operation (on a limited area basis) for years now and have driven, according to Google’s latest monthly self-driving report (you can read the February 2016 PDF report here), some 1,452,177 miles autonomously and this is appears to be the first actual accident caused by a Google self-driving car. It was a minor fender bender yet already some are questioning the future of self-driving vehicles.
People such as Samuel Anthony English who offers the following essay for Slate…
The Trollable Self-Driving Car
I can’t argue all his points but I think he makes one critical mistake in his essay: He assumes that in the future there will be a mix of self-driving cars and human driving cars and I believe we will very quickly move into a world where the self-driving vehicles will rule the roads and there will be fewer and fewer and, eventually, no cars being driven exclusively by people.
The fact is the accident caused by the Google car involved the vehicle not anticipating what the other (human) driver was about to do. While the programmers at Google no doubt will offer fixes to their self-driving software I have little doubt that future driverless cars vs. human driver car crashes are possible…some of which will be the fault of the Google car.
But if all vehicles are automated I equally suspect they’ll also be able to “interact” with each other to some degree so any situation where a car can move -or allow another to go ahead- will be dealt with and no accident can or will occur.
I strongly believe that when given a choice, people will accept the freedom of a self-driving car versus the drudgery of driving oneself to and from your destinations.
If as I suspect will happen, then the amount of cars with actual human drivers in them will diminish and, perhaps, one day even disappear.
In which case a crash like the one above will probably no longer be an issue.